Emerging Antiviral Drugs to Prevent or Treat Influenza

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Question(s)

  1. What antiviral drugs are in the pipeline for influenza A or B?

Key Message

What Is the Issue?

  • There is a need to identify drugs currently in development (pipeline drugs) intended to prevent or treat influenza.
  • Specifically, policy-makers would like to identify those drugs that have ongoing or recently completed phase II or phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and are not yet approved for use by Health Canada for influenza.

What Did We Do?

  • An information specialist did a tailored literature search across major databases to identify relevant RCTs on antiviral drugs for influenza, focusing on information published in English since January 1, 2020, and completed on November 8, 2024.

What Did We Find?

  • We identified a total of 17 emerging drugs in 26 completed or ongoing RCTs, mainly testing treatments for adults with uncomplicated influenza, with some studies including children and adolescents.
  • The evidence included 2 prevention studies and 3 challenge studies for influenza.
  • Most drugs were compared to a placebo and the number of participants in these trials ranged from 46 to 5,000.

What Does It Mean?

  • There are promising new drugs in development for treating adults with uncomplicated influenza.

2025 Watch List: Artificial Intelligence

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Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been suggested as a solution to tackle issues faced by the Canadian health care system and revolutionize health care delivery. It is expected to affect all aspects of the system from public health planning and disease diagnosis and prognosis to clinical documentation and other administrative processes. The 2025 Watch List aims to give decision makers a clear signal about 5 artificial intelligence technologies and 5 issues related to their development and adoption that are likely to affect health care delivery and planning in Canada in the next 5 years.

Key Message

What Is the 2025 Watch List?

The Watch List is an annual Horizon Scan report from Canada’s Drug Agency that presents emerging technologies and issues that have potential to shape the future of health care in Canada.

The 2025 Watch List focuses on the use of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in health care and the issues that may arise with the implementation of these technologies.

AI technologies have the potential to significantly transform health care systems. These technologies could increase efficiency by reducing administrative burden, improve patient outcomes, and enhance patient experience by creating more access points to the health care system. However, there are also legal, ethical, environmental, and social implications with the rollout of these technologies.

Why Is This an Issue?

Substantial public and private investments are being made in AI technologies for health care. AI technologies are already being implemented in some parts of the Canadian health care system. Commercial options, such as ChatGPT, allow AI technologies to be used by patients to assist with their health care journeys. Because they are readily available and easy to use, these same tools are sometimes used by clinicians and, in some cases, without sanction or training from employers or regulators.

AI health care technologies also present an opportunity to fundamentally change health care by its ability to replace, displace, or augment tasks that have traditionally required human cognition. The potential health human resources impact of machines taking on some this load is significant given the increasing demand for health care services and the finite capacity of health care systems in Canada.

What Is the Potential Impact?

The Watch List signals which technologies are poised to make an impact and the policies, regulatory or organizational enablers, and/or guardrails that are needed to optimize the proliferation of these technologies in the health care system.

The 2025 Watch List also focuses on considerations for optimizing and accelerating implementation, such as the massive potential impact on operations, clinical outcomes, and staff and patient experience, while minimizing risks.

What Else Do We Need to Know?

The 2025 Watch List of AI technologies and issues in health care was developed through consensus-based decision-making at a workshop in November 2024 including individuals from across Canada with experience and expertise in AI.

The 2025 Watch List identifies and describes the top 5 new and emerging AI technologies in health care. Examples include AI for notetaking and AI for disease detection and diagnosis. We also explore some considerations for health care decision-makers about the impact these technologies may have on health human resources, health care infrastructure, and health equity.

The 2025 Watch List also identifies the top 5 issues related to AI technologies in health care. Examples include the importance of establishing guidelines around what data are used to train AI algorithms and how that might contribute to bias as well as considerations about the liability and accountability of health care providers and systems that use these technologies. These are key issues that warrant more attention and will influence the wider adoption, diffusion, and implementation of new and emerging AI technologies.

Monitoring ongoing developments and evidence related to the top technologies and issues highlighted in the 2025 Watch List can help guide health system planning in Canada and improve access to high-quality care.

CRISPR Technologies for In Vivo and Ex Vivo Gene Editing

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Key Message

What Is the Issue?

The first therapeutics based on clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats (CRISPR) technologies are entering the market. These gene-editing technologies have the potential to change treatment paradigms and may be used to treat conditions that cannot be treated or cured with current methods. This report aims to provide an overview of these technologies and their current and potential roles in health care.

What Is the Technology?

CRISPR is a novel and emerging technology, first discovered in bacterial immune systems, that can cut DNA strands and be used as a gene-editing tool. A guide ribonucleic acid (RNA) sequence leads the CRISPR-associated nuclease to the target DNA sequence where the cut is made. These edits change the function of the gene, making genes nonfunctional or replacing the coding sequence for 1 gene with another. CRISPR can also be used to increase or decrease the expression of specific genes.

What Is the Potential Impact?

CRISPR-based technologies have a variety of potential applications in health care, including:

  • treating genetic diseases
  • understanding the genetic mechanisms of diseases and investigating the relevance of potential drug treatments
  • managing infectious diseases through detection, treatment, and elimination.

What Else Do We Need to Know?

The long-term effects of CRISPR-based therapies are currently unknown. While the first of these therapies, exagamglogene autotemcel (exa-cel) (Casgevy), is the first and only CRISPR-based therapy to receive regulatory approval anywhere internationally (e.g., US, UK), as well as in Canada in September 2024, the next viable CRISPR-based therapies are still in development, with the pivotal clinical trials not expected to be completed until at least 2027. Several ethical considerations related to the use of CRISPR-based therapies have been identified, including the implications of off-target gene modifications, a need for robust informed consent processes, and a need for ethical and legal guidelines.
 

Strategies to Reduce Alternate Level of Care

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What Is the Issue?

  • Alternate level of care (ALC) is when a patient is occupying a bed in a hospital and does not require the intensity of resources or services provided in that hospital. ALC is a persistent barrier to providing efficient health care in Canada, as it is in most health systems worldwide (where ALC is referred to as delayed discharge).
  • Older adults (aged 65 years or older) who require placement in residential care are the largest subgroup of the ALC patient population.

Natural Cycles App as Contraception

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Projects listed as “in progress” are at various stages and points of completion. These products have different processes and timelines; therefore, the timing of posting of the final reports varies and expected completion dates may change. Find out more about Projects in Progress.

The Paige Prostate Suite: Assistive Artificial Intelligence for Prostate Cancer Diagnosis

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What Is the Paige Prostate Suite?

  • The Paige Prostate Suite is a set of artificial intelligence (AI) applications that works alongside pathologists reviewing prostate biopsy samples. The suite is not available in Canada as of this writing (June 2024), but international counterparts have authorized it for clinical use.

Anticytokine Therapy and Corticosteroids for Cytokine Release Syndrome and for Neurotoxicity Following T-Cell Engager or CAR T-Cell Therapy

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Key Message

What Is the Issue?

  • Cytokine release syndrome (CRS) and immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome (ICANS) are the most common toxicities secondary to T-cell engager or chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy.
  • The US FDA and Health Canada approved tocilizumab, an anti-interleukin-6 receptor antagonist, for the management of severe or life-threatening cases of CRS.
  • Corticosteroids also play an important role in CRS management and are the mainstay of ICANS management.
  • Decision-makers are interested in understanding the use of anticytokine drugs (i.e., tocilizumab, anakinra, siltuximab) and/or corticosteroids in the management of CRS and ICANS following T-cell engager or CAR T-cell therapy. 

What Did We Do?

  • We identified and summarized the literature comparing the clinical effectiveness and safety of anticytokine therapy and/or corticosteroids with alternative care or treatment as usual for treating and preventing of CRS and ICANS. We also searched for evidence-based recommendations for the use of anticytokine therapy and/or corticosteroids to treat and prevent CRS and ICANS.
  • A research information specialist conducted a literature search of peer-reviewed and grey literature sources published between January 1, 2019 and February 26, 2024 for CRS; and between January 1, 2019 and March 4, 2024 for ICANS. One reviewer screened citations for inclusion based on predefined criteria, critically appraised the included studies, and narratively summarized the findings.

What Did We Find?

  • This report presents evidence-based findings on 3 retrospective chart review studies, 2 prospective cohort studies, and 4 consensus guidelines.
  • Limited and low-quality clinical evidence from studies with a high risk of bias suggested that early use of tocilizumab or corticosteroids, or prophylactic use of tocilizumab or anakinra may reduce the risk of a high-grade CRS without a negative impact on neurotoxicity or immunotherapy treatment outcomes.
  • The included guidelines recommend the use of tocilizumab for treatment of higher-grade CRS, or for treatment of grade 1 CRS if symptoms persist for 3 days or more. Corticosteroids could be added in conjunction if there is no improvement or persistent symptoms after tocilizumab therapy.
  • For the management of ICANS in the absence of concurrent CRS, supportive care is the preferred treatment option for grade 1 ICANS, while corticosteroids are recommended for the management of grade 2 to 4 ICANS. In the presence of concurrent CRS, guidelines recommend tocilizumab therapy as per management of CRS, and corticosteroids should be continued until improvement to grade 1.
  • We did not identify any clinical evidence regarding the clinical efficacy and safety of anticytokine therapy and/or corticosteroids for treatment of CRS and ICANS compared with alternative treatment or treatment as usual.
  • We also did not identify any guidelines for the use of prophylactic anticytokine therapy, corticosteroids, or both for the prevention of CRS and ICANS.

What Does This Mean?

  • Despite limited and low-quality evidence, the findings suggest some potential benefits of prophylactic or early use of anticytokine therapy and corticosteroids for the management of immunotherapy-related toxicities. Guidelines offer guidance on the management of CRS, ICANS and other less common toxicities related to immunotherapy based on the available low-quality evidence.
  • When using the clinical evidence and recommendations summarized in this report to inform decisions, decision-makers should consider that the evidence is limited and of low quality.
  • To improve the certainty of findings, there is a need for more robust prospective clinical trials with larger sample sizes, and lower risk of bias.

Virtual Medicine Wards and Hospital-at-Home Programs

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What Is the Issue?

  • In 2021, the occupancy rate of acute care hospital beds in Canada was 86.7%. High occupancy rates without turnover to accommodate all hospitalization needs is an indicator of potential bed shortages and health system pressure.
  • Patients have historically remained in hospital beds until their treatment or recovery is complete. Some patients may be well enough to continue their treatment or recovery at home sooner if provided with the right supports.

What Are the Technologies?

    Point-of-Care Tests for COVID-19 and Influenza in Canada

    Details

    What Is the Issue?

    • Healthcare providers rely on laboratory tests to differentiate between respiratory illnesses that manifest in similar symptoms, such as COVID-19 and influenza. However, samples may travel to centralized laboratories to process, which can delay test results and treatment.